This is a link to the famous DiploMad 2.0 discussing state department ways and how they would relate to the current Chen situation.
Just like some Hollywood movie mafiosi, the Beijing authorities most likely put the heat on Chen’s family. I have no doubt, despite the tepid denials, that the US Embassy officials, now panicking re the implications for their “make nice” mission, passed along the threats re Chen’s family to Chen.
……. Whatever the thinking had been, it soon became to get Chen out, have the PRC issue some vague promise that “we will be nice to him,” put an end to the “crisis,” get good Employee Evaluation Reports (EERs) for all involved, and maybe even a few Superior Honor Awards for “tirelessly developing the successful response to a crisis that threatened to overshadow the Secretary’s visit, and to hamper the evolution of Sino-American relations.” (I used to write that sort of crap.)As I have noted before, no adult supervision exists in the Obama misadministration when it comes to foreign policy.
This is the Washington Post story on Chen having permission to study abroad.
the deal — struck less than 24 hours before Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton was set to depart Beijing — left Chen and U.S. officials in the same position they have been stuck in for days: relying on the word of the Chinese government…………………..Chen’s lack of a passport may also prove to be an obstacle. The Foreign Ministry, in its Friday statement, said that if Chen “wants to study abroad, he can apply through normal channels to the relevant departments, according to the law, just like any other Chinese citizen.” But in Chen’s case, that would mean having to return to his home province, Shandong, to obtain the necessary documents. Chen was beaten severely in Shandong and kept under unlawful house arrest for more than a year and a half.
You tell me. Will this happen? I have my doubts.